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Research on the Influencing Factors and Potential of Export Trade in China’s Paper Industry
Received:April 08, 2024  
DOI：10.11980/j.issn.0254-508X.2024.08.015
Key Words:China’s paper industry  export trade  influencing factors  potential capacity of trade
Fund Project:2023年新疆财经大学智库调研项目“新疆跨境电商综合试验区创新发展路径与对策研究”（ZKZB2302）。
Author NameAffiliationPostcode
ZHAO Qingsong College of International Economics and Trade， Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics， Urumqi， Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region， 830012
Silk Road Institute of Economics and Management， Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics， Urumqi， Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region， 830012 		830012
GUO Yikang* College of International Economics and Trade， Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics， Urumqi， Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region， 830012 830012
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Abstract:This paper analyzed the current situation and characteristics of China’s paper industry trade， constructed an expanded trade gravity model based on panel data of China and 30 trading partner countries from 2011 to 2022， and studied the influencing factors and potential of China’s paper industry export trade. The results showed that China had a high degree of dependence on the import of pulp. In recent years， while the import volume of various paper products had decreased， the export scale of China’s paper industry had shown an upward trend. Economic scale， forest resource differences， transportation efficiency， exchange rate of local currency against the US dollar， customs clearance efficiency， signing of free trade agreements， transportation level， and cultural factors had significant impacts on China’s paper industry export trade. In the midstream and downstream paper product trade， China was considered “aoneer potential” while major countries were seen as having “significant potential”. Thus， China should focus on enhancing the quality and value-added of its paper products， reducing reliance on imported upstream materials like pulp， and expediting the negotiation of free trade agreements with major countries.
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