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Research on the Influencing Factors and Potential of Export Trade in China's Paper Industry |
投稿时间:2024-03-19 修订日期:2024-04-08 |
DOI: |
Key Words:China's paper industry, export trade, influencing factors, potential capacity of trade |
Fund Project:2023年新疆财经大学智库调研项目“新疆跨境电商综合试验区创新发展路径与对策研究”(ZKZB2302) |
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Abstract:China is the largest producer and exporter of paper products in the world. This paper analyzes the current situation and characteristics of China's paper industry trade, constructs an expanded trade gravity model based on panel data of China and 30 trading partner countries from 2011 to 2022, and studies the influencing factors and potential of China's paper industry export trade. The results show that China has a high degree of dependence on the import of pulp. In recent years, while the import volume of various paper products has decreased, the export scale of the paper industry has shown an upward trend. Economic scale, forest resource differences, transportation efficiency, exchange rate of local currency against the US dollar, customs clearance efficiency, signing of free trade agreements, transportation level, and cultural factors have significant impacts on China's paper industry export trade; In the midstream and downstream paper product trade, China is considered a "pioneer potential" while major countries are seen as having "significant potential." As such, China should focus on enhancing the quality and value-added of its paper products, reducing reliance on imported upstream materials like pulp, and expediting the negotiation of free trade agreements with major countries. |
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